MARANA, Ariz. We're down to the elite eight. Here's how Saturday morning's quarterfinal matches shape up, according to me. I'm 24-18 so far, which means you could do nearly as well by flipping a coin. (All times are Eastern)
Broadcast schedule: 10 a.m. Golf Channel, 2 p.m. NBC
BOBBY JONES BRACKET
Rory McIlroy (4) vs. Geoff Ogilvy (2) 9:20 a.m.
This is Rory's first time on a stage this big, and he's destined for stardom. But Ogilvy's combination of experience and familiarity with desert conditions he lives in the Scottsdale area gives him more local knowledge, which is big on this course. I think Ogilvy ends Rory's run.
BEN HOGAN BRACKET
Ernie Els (4) vs. Stewart Cink (6) 9:32 a.m.
This will be the marquee match of the morning. Ernie is back on form, but so is Cink, who undeniably plays match play well. For the first time on Friday, Cink's match didn't go extra holes. Maybe that gives Ernie an edge in fatigue factor. Els likes this course, so look for him to advance.
GARY PLAYER BRACKET
Sean O'Hair (12) vs. Paul Casey (6) 9:44 a.m.
O'Hair had kind of a patchy third-round match, missing a couple of short putts that allowed Poulter to hang around. Casey has a home-desert advantage since he also lives in Scottsdale. I'm sticking by my pick for Casey to make the final four.
SAM SNEAD BRACKET
Ross Fisher (9) vs. Justin Leonard (7) 9:56 a.m.
I doubt if anyone has made more birdies this week than Fisher, but Leonard is always a tough customer in match play, and I still like his short game. Plus, he's pretty funny laughing it up in the new Nike commercial with Tiger and friends. I'm going with Leonard.