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PGA Tour Confidential: The U.S. Open

On the condition of anonymity, a PGA Tour pro wonders about Tiger, picks a winner, and likes the long-hitters at Torrey Pines

Published: June 10, 2008

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As usual, there's only one topic of conversation going into a major championship: Tiger Woods.

For a change, we're not talking about how much he's going to win by — we're talking about what's up with his left knee.

The vibe on Tour is that his knee isn't as far along as he's been letting on. He's Tiger Woods and he can surprise everybody, but this time it's different. When he bagged the Memorial, his agent told Jack Nicklaus that Tiger couldn't put as much weight on his knee as he wanted when he swung. That can't be good. He'll have been out for almost eight weeks. I don't see him being Tiger sharp.

And you know what? If he's not 100% sure that he can win, I don't think he'll play. That would buy him a few more weeks before the British Open.

If a U.S. Open is ever going to fall into Phil Mickelson's lap (usually they seem to fall out of his lap), this is the one. Phil has to be the favorite. He's playing with confidence, and he just won at Colonial. His putting got off track for a while, and now he has it straightened out.

He grew up in San Diego, and now he lives there again, so this is a home game for Phil. With Tiger less than 100%, I see a Phil week.

I'm sure he and Dave Pelz, his short-game guru, have already been out on Torrey Pines with NORAD radar checking to see how much moisture stays in the greens.

Plus, now that Phil is an inch taller, he's even more formidable. Yeah, the other players were laughing last month when Phil said he went to a longer putter because all the stretching and workouts he's been doing caused him to grow an inch. That's Phil being Phil. First of all, who's even measuring himself at age 37? Are his pants suddenly an inch short?

Nobody has a problem with him, but other players simply can't relate. He's eccentric and plays the game a different way. He had five wedges in his bag when he won at Colonial. Five wedges? Good Lord. I guess that's why he didn't play safe and hit three-wood on 18, where he lost another drive to the left on the final hole (a trend I've noticed with him). With all those wedges taking up space in his bag, he didn't have a three-wood to hit.

I'm really curious to see how well Sergio Garcia plays. He looks better with the putter, and he's always been a good ball striker.

I thought winning the Players would get the media off his back, but I just watched two guys on Golf Channel saying it's time for Sergio to step up and win a major, so I guess it didn't. Sergio's putting is mental. I feel that 90% of putting is mental, and the other 10% is mental too.

You can have the worst stroke, but if you believe you can make it, you can make it. We'll know by Saturday whether Garcia's revamped stroke is up to handling U.S. Open speeds.