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All But Over

The International team needs a miracle to win on Sunday. Here's how the singles matches stack up


Published: September 29, 2007

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MONTREAL — There's only one thing you need to know about the Presidents Cup. It's over.

All right, put an asterisk on that sentence. There is still a 1-in-10,000 chance that the United States team won't win 3 points in Sunday's singles matches. Miracles happen. Indiana Jones once escaped from a tomb full of asps and cobras without so much as a single bite.

But this is not the movies. A bunch of International team players who aren't playing anywhere near their best have to beat a bunch of American players, many of whom are playing the best golf of their careers (Steve Stricker, Woody Austin, Hunter Mahan and Lucas Glover, for starters). You've got a better chance of seeing the Great Pumpkin fly over your pumpkin patch.

Still, this has been a crazy seesaw ride. The Americans won 5 1/2 of 6 points the first day, and the Internationals won 4 1/2 of 6 points the second day. On Saturday morning, the U.S. swept all five foursomes matches. In 11 alternate-shot matches, the U.S. lost only half a point. That's ridiculous.

The I-team made another spirited rally Saturday afternoon in the four-ball matches and led four of them at one point. But like the Mets, they had trouble closing and earned only a split, 2 1/2 of a possible 5 points. With 12 singles matches to play, the Internationals trail, 14 1/2-7 1/2. First one to 17 1/2 wins.

The only way for a crazy Cup to end is with a crazy finish, but the International team will need industrial-strength crazy. The Americans' magic number is three.

"The odds are stacked against us," said Gary Player, the International captain. "But we saw some strange things happen at Brookline in the Ryder Cup the year Ben Crenshaw was captain."

Australian Stuart Appleby said: "It's a full-on assault, and every player needs to find a way to win ... We know that, and it lets us be more aggressive. We need to put pressure on early and make the rest think there's something going on up front."

No one gave a concession speech on Saturday night, but you can read between the lines. Both captains front-loaded their lineups with the big guns.

In the fourth slot, Nicklaus conveniently put Tiger's name on the board. Player matched it with the local favorite, Canada's Mike Weir. It was the pairing that the public and the Canadian media had been drooling over all week, and it could be seen as a concession. If the outcome is already decided, let's at least give the people something to watch.

Beyond that match, Sunday may not be very interesting. The Americans should clinch the Cup fairly early. Here's how the singles matches stack up:

Scott Verplank vs. Rory Sabbatini (12:10 p.m. EST)
Verplank is unbeaten this week, and Sabbatini was among the I-team's steadiest players. This will be a classic duel between Sabbatini's power and Verplank's short game and guile. Next to Woods vs. Weir, this may be the most intriguing match. Verplank is tough, but Sabbatini and the Internationals are desperate.
The pick: Sabbatini by a nose.

Lucas Glover vs. Ernie Els (12:22 p.m. EST)
Els looked more like his old self on Saturday afternoon, racking up five birdies. He and Weir combined to beat a struggling Charles Howell III and Glover, who kept them in the match with six birdies and an eagle. No one on the American team has played any better than Glover, so I'm predicting the upset.
The pick: Glover.