TPC Four Seasons, site of this week’s AT&T Byron Nelson, has been known as one of the least popular courses on the PGA Tour.
That said, it will likely take a positive attitude and tremendous patience to win this week, especially since weather conditions are expected to be similar to what we saw at Colonial CC last week. Unfortunately, attitude and patience aren’t measured by the PGA Tour’s ShotLink database, so we’ll look elsewhere in trying to predict a winner.
Of the last five champions at TPC Four Seasons, three finished either first or second in total putts the week they won. Defending champion Brendon Todd finished T1 in putts, T2 in putts/GIR, T3 in distance of putts made and first in strokes gained/putting. Sang-moon Bae, who won in 2013, finished second in strokes gained/putting. Jason Day led the field in strokes gained/putting when he won in 2010.
With those numbers in mind, here are our AT&T Byron Nelson picks. Also included is a look at each player’s putter and odds from GolfOdds.com.
Brandt Snedeker 25/1
Sneds’ T2 last week at Colonial was his best finish since winning the AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am in February (a victory that it seems most people had forgotten about). He’s third on tour in strokes/gained putting, seventh in putts per round (28.02) and ninth in one-putt percentage (43.43%). Snedeker also apparently likes AT&T sponsored events, having won the Pebble Beach Pro-Am twice.
Snedeker is putting with an Odyssey White Hot XG Rossie.
Dustin Johnson 10/1
Other than a victory at the WGC-Cadillac Championship at Doral in March, DJ has top-10s at the Masters, Valero Texas Open, AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am and the Northern Trust Open. Johnson has finished in the top-10 at TPC Four Seasons in 2014, 2010 and 2009. His putting statistics aren’t through the roof, but he is T5 in putting average (1.718), 10th in one-putt percentage (43.4%) and second in average final round putts (26.29). When the heat’s been on this season, DJ has performed his best on the greens.
Johnson’s putter is a Scotty Cameron German Stainless Steel prototype.
Gary Woodland 30/1
Woodland has four top-10s this season, including runner-up finishes at the CIMB Classic in November and the WGC-Cadillac Match Play Championship less than a month ago. He finished T4 at the Wells Fargo two weeks ago, and finished T7 at TPC Four Seasons last year. Woodland isn’t known as a great putter, but he led the field in strokes gained/putting at the Wells Fargo (finished T4) and is 11th on tour in putting from outside 25 feet, making 12 of 142 attempts so far this season.
Woodland is putting with an Odyssey Versa #1 Wide Black.
Check back next week to see how our picks fared, and which club(s) played the most important role in determining a winner.